IMF experts may raise privatization issue during Minsk talks

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission is expected to visit Belarus next week to discuss anti-crisis measures with Belarusian officials and independent experts among other matters.



"These are annual consultations that are conducted with the governments of nearly all countries on economic policies in the past year and in the year to come. We will be discussing the possibility of accelerating the pace of growth in the mid term, three to five years," Natalya Kolyadina, the IMF's permanent representative in Minsk, told ERB. 

IMF experts forecast a small economic growth in Belarus next year. Kolyadina says that the rubel is stable and is not expected to depreciate in the foreseeable future.

Economist Yaraslau Ramanchuk argues that the economy is on a shaky ground and that the government has been pretending to carry out recommendations of foreign experts.

"It will be difficult to deceive the IMF experts, saying that everything goes well. The government's window-dressing does not meet the requirements set by the IMF," he commented.

Economist Syarhey Chaly says IMF experts will raise the issue of privatization of five major enterprises and banks, something that it advised in February.

"One of the conditions was the establishment of a privatization agency and selecting one or two Western investment consultants. They may come with some proposals and see what has been done. As far as I understand, the discussion will focus on preparations for privatization."

The government's compliance with the IMF recommendations is necessary for receiving a new instalment of a stand-by loan from the IMF. Chaly says that the IMF is likely to release the money, about $675 million, in late September, but its decision will be based on both economic and political considerations. 

The IMF is expected to dispatch two more missions in late 2009 and in February 2010 before approving two more installments, said the IMF office in Minsk. Its lending program for Belarus runs until April 2010.


Photo — Telegraf